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<p>A response to the noble Lord’s Parliamentary Question of 6 June is below and attached.</p><p>Professor
Sir Ian Diamond | National Statistician</p><p>The Lord Birt<br>House of Lords<br>London<br>SW1A
0PW</p><p>17 June 2022</p><p>Dear Lord Birt,</p><p><br>As National Statistician and
Chief Executive of the UK Statistics Authority, I am responding to your Parliamentary
Question asking what estimate has been made of the percentage of British businesses
that have stopped trading with the EU since 1 January 2021 (HL603).</p><p>Unfortunately,
the Office for National Statistics does not hold or publish data on the percentage
of British businesses that have stopped trading with the EU since 1 January 2021.</p><p>Through
the Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS), however, we do collect some data
on the changes businesses have made to how and where they import and export since
1 January 2021.</p><p>Estimates from early May 2022 show that 4% of trading exporting
businesses changed from exporting their goods and services to EU countries to nations
from outside the EU. The percentage of trading importing businesses who changed from
importing from within the EU to outside the EU was 2%. Table 1 provides the estimates
from BICS at the start of 2021 and May 2022, where we asked businesses that have exported
or imported in the last 12 months if they have changed where they have exported/imported
goods or services to in the last three months.[1]</p><p>In early March 2022, estimates
from BICS show that 7% of businesses made changes to supply chains due to the end
of the EU transition period. Table 2 provides the time series from BICS, where we
asked businesses if they made changes to supply chains due to the end of the EU transition
period.</p><p>The UK leaving the EU and the subsequent transition period, along with
the impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, global recession and supply chain
disruption, have caused higher levels of volatility in trade statistics in the past
two years. We have investigated the impacts of EU exit and COVID-19 on UK trade in
goods [2] and UK trade in services [3] in recent articles, and have also examined
the extent to which supply chains have shifted following theend of the EU exit transition
period in UK trade in goods, year in review: 2021. [4]</p><p>However, it continues
to be difficult to assess the extent to which trade movements reflect short-term trade
disruption or longer-term supply chain adjustments.</p><p> </p><p>Yours sincerely,</p><p>Professor
Sir Ian Diamond</p><p> </p><p> </p><p>Table 1: Have you changed where you have exported/imported
your goods or services to in the last three months?</p><p>Percentage of businesses
currently trading and have exported or imported in last 12 months, weighted by count,
UK, 8 February 2021 to 15 May 2022</p><table><tbody><tr><td> </td><td><p>Reference
period</p></td><td><p>Changed from EU to non-EU</p></td><td><p>Changed from non-EU
to EU [5]</p></td><td><p>No Changes Made</p></td><td><p>Not Sure</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Exporting
businesses</p></td><td><p>8 February to 21 February 2021</p></td><td><p>2.1%</p></td><td><p>[c]</p></td><td><p>93.1%</p></td><td><p>4.3%</p></td></tr><tr><td>
</td><td><p>3 May to 15 May 2022</p></td><td><p>4.2%</p></td><td><p>1.0%</p></td><td><p>92.5%</p></td><td><p>2.3%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Importing
businesses</p></td><td><p>8 February to 21 February 2021</p></td><td><p>1.7%</p></td><td><p>1.2%</p></td><td><p>95.2%</p></td><td><p>2.5%</p></td></tr><tr><td>
</td><td><p>3 May to 15 May 2022</p></td><td><p>1.6%</p></td><td><p>[c]</p></td><td><p>91.6%</p></td><td><p>5.9%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source:
Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) [6]</p><p> </p><p> </p><p>Table 2:
Has your business made changes to supply chains due to the end of the EU transition
period?</p><p>Percentage of businesses not permanently stopped, weighted by count,
UK, 22 March 2021 to 20 March 2022</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>Reference Period</p></td><td><p>Yes</p></td><td><p>No</p></td><td><p>Not
Sure</p></td><td><p>Not applicable</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>22 March to 4 April 2021</p></td><td><p>3.7%</p></td><td><p>59.6%</p></td><td><p>4.6%</p></td><td><p>32.1%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>5
April to 18 April 2021</p></td><td><p>4.3%</p></td><td><p>57.0%</p></td><td><p>4.2%</p></td><td><p>34.5%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>19
April to 2 May 2021</p></td><td><p>3.8%</p></td><td><p>56.8%</p></td><td><p>5.3%</p></td><td><p>34.1%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3
May to 16 May 2021</p></td><td><p>3.7%</p></td><td><p>56.9%</p></td><td><p>3.8%</p></td><td><p>35.6%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>17
May to 30 May 2021</p></td><td><p>3.6%</p></td><td><p>47.1%</p></td><td><p>5.1%</p></td><td><p>44.2%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>31
May to 13 June 2021</p></td><td><p>4.0%</p></td><td><p>51.1%</p></td><td><p>4.2%</p></td><td><p>40.6%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>14
June to 27 June 2021</p></td><td><p>4.5%</p></td><td><p>45.0%</p></td><td><p>5.1%</p></td><td><p>45.3%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>12
July to 25 July 2021</p></td><td><p>4.3%</p></td><td><p>36.3%</p></td><td><p>6.7%</p></td><td><p>52.7%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>9
August to 22 August 2021</p></td><td><p>4.1%</p></td><td><p>40.4%</p></td><td><p>6.4%</p></td><td><p>49.0%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>6
September to 19 September 2021</p></td><td><p>4.4%</p></td><td><p>39.2%</p></td><td><p>6.7%</p></td><td><p>49.7%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>18
October to 31 October 2021</p></td><td><p>4.9%</p></td><td><p>48.8%</p></td><td><p>5.2%</p></td><td><p>41.2%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>15
November to 28 November 2021</p></td><td><p>5.0%</p></td><td><p>51.6%</p></td><td><p>5.0%</p></td><td><p>38.5%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>13
December to 26 December 2021</p></td><td><p>4.7%</p></td><td><p>48.3%</p></td><td><p>4.9%</p></td><td><p>42.1%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>10
January to 23 January 2022</p></td><td><p>4.7%</p></td><td><p>41.0%</p></td><td><p>6.0%</p></td><td><p>48.2%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>7
February to 20 February 2022</p></td><td><p>4.7%</p></td><td><p>43.4%</p></td><td><p>5.6%</p></td><td><p>46.3%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>7
March to 20 March 2022</p></td><td><p>6.6%</p></td><td><p>47.8%</p></td><td><p>4.5%</p></td><td><p>41.1%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>
</p><p>Source: Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS)</p><p> </p><p>1 https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/economicoutputandproductivity/output/datasets/businessinsightsandimpactontheukeconomy</p><p>2
https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/internationaltrade/articles/theimpactsofeuexitandthecoronavirusonuktradeingoods/2021-05-25</p><p>3
https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/nationalaccounts/balanceofpayments/articles/theimpactsofeuexitandcoronaviruscovid19onuktradeinservices/latest</p><p>4
https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/nationalaccounts/balanceofpayments/articles/uktradeingoodsyearinreview/2021</p><p>5
[c] represents data that has been removed for confidentiality reasons, such as percentages
less than 1%.</p><p>6 Further time periods are available: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/economicoutputandproductivity/output/datasets/businessinsightsandimpactontheukeconomy</p>
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