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<p>Prior to the Severn Crossings consultation in 2017 the Government undertook modelling
to assess the effect of the policy to continue tolling at a reduced rate and on the
possible option of free-flow tolling. The modelling used a version of the M4-CAN traffic
model extended to take account of the effect of changes in tolls on both the South
West of England and Wales, which included estimates of wider economic effects consistent
with DfT Transport Appraisal Guidance.</p><p> </p><p>Removal of the tolls will mean
more people will be able to afford to cross the border in both directions to seek
job and trade opportunities. This will support motorists, residents and businesses
across Wales and the south-west, helping rebalance the economy as part of the Industrial
Strategy. These benefits are expected to be associated with an increase in traffic
around the Severn and Bristol area.</p><p>The Government announced on 21 July 2017
that it was removing tolls by the end of 2018. No further modelling was undertaken
by the Department for Transport on this specific option.</p><p> </p>
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