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<p>The Department for Education uses the Teacher Supply Model (TSM) to calculate the
optimum number of Initial Teacher Training (ITT) places required to match the future
supply of teachers to the estimated demand for qualified teachers within the state
funded sector in England. The National College of Teaching and Leadership (NCTL) use
this information to inform their allocation of ITT places to teacher training providers.</p><p>
</p><p> </p><p> </p><p>The Department does not include pension and National Insurance
contribution as factors in econometric forecasts of numbers who will leave the profession;
however we do use average relative pay.</p><p> </p><p> </p><p> </p><p>Whilst the Department
estimates future teacher demand at a national level, decision-making taken at school
level determines the actual number of teachers required. In addition, the reforms
to teachers’ pay that were introduced from September 2013 have given schools greater
freedom to develop local reward packages which enable them to attract and retain the
good teachers they need.</p><p> </p><p> </p><p> </p><p>The Department has published
the TSM online, along with an outline of the wastage forecast methodology. This is
available through the following link: <a href="https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/teacher-supply-model"
target="_blank">https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/teacher-supply-model</a></p><p>
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