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<p /> <p /> <p>Estimates were made of both the future AME expenditure and the revenue
from contributions in 2015-16 and 2016-17 which would determine future state pension
expenditure levels. Estimates made by the Department were certified by the Office
for Budget Responsibility. Figures for the medium term impacts in cash terms were
published on page 46 in Budget 2014: policy costings available at:</p><p><a href="https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/295067/PU1638_policy_costings_bud_2014_with_correction_slip.pdf"
target="_blank">https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/295067/PU1638_policy_costings_bud_2014_with_correction_slip.pdf</a>
.</p><p> </p><p>Further information on the long-term Exchequer impact in 2013-14 price
terms is included in the table below. As noted in the policy costings document, there
is uncertainty about levels of take-up of this policy. If take-up was higher than
assumed both AME and Revenue would increase and if take-up was lower than assumed
then both would decrease.</p><p> </p><table><tbody><tr><td><p> </p></td><td><p>AME</p></td><td><p>Revenue</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2014-15</p></td><td><p>0</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2015-16</p></td><td><p>-15</p></td><td><p>+415</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2016-17</p></td><td><p>-50</p></td><td><p>+410</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2017-18</p></td><td><p>-65</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2018-19</p></td><td><p>-65</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2019-20</p></td><td><p>-60</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2020-21</p></td><td><p>-60</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2021-22</p></td><td><p>-55</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2022-23</p></td><td><p>-55</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2023-24</p></td><td><p>-55</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2024-25</p></td><td><p>-50</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2025-26</p></td><td><p>-45</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2026-27</p></td><td><p>-45</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2027-28</p></td><td><p>-40</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2028-29</p></td><td><p>-40</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2029-30</p></td><td><p>-35</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2030-31</p></td><td><p>-35</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2031-32</p></td><td><p>-30</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2032-33</p></td><td><p>-30</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2033-34</p></td><td><p>-25</p></td><td><p>0</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>
</p><p>Notes to table: Figures are in £m, 2013-14 price terms, rounded to nearest
£5m.</p>
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