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<p>For goods vehicles, the Department draws upon the Airports Commission’s assessment
of road freight numbers as published in their Appraisal Framework Module 4 - <em>Surface
Access Freight Impacts Study.</em></p><p> </p><p>In October 2017, the Department published
within its Updated Appraisal Report: Airport Capacity in the South East, details of
the estimated surface access trips for both highway and public transport trips for
each of the airport expansion options as inputs to its non-flight carbon assessment.</p><p>
</p><p>Details of the estimates for annual highway trips for the Heathrow Airport
options are set out in the following table:</p><p> </p><p>Annual highway trips (car
and taxi) by passengers and employees at Heathrow, DfT17 central forecasts (millions)</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>
</p></td><td colspan="4"><p>Highway vehicle trips</p></td></tr><tr><td><p> </p></td><td><p>2026</p></td><td><p>2030</p></td><td><p>2040</p></td><td><p>2050</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>No
Expansion</p></td><td><p>57.5</p></td><td><p>59.4</p></td><td><p>62.7</p></td><td><p>66.3</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>LHR
Extended Northern Runway</p></td><td><p>67.7</p></td><td><p>75.2</p></td><td><p>78.2</p></td><td><p>82.1</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>LHR
Northwest Runway</p></td><td><p>67.7</p></td><td><p>77.7</p></td><td><p>80.7</p></td><td><p>85.5</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source:
Department for Transport: Table A.2 Updated Appraisal Report: Airport Capacity in
the South East (October 2017)</p><p> </p><p>As specified in the Airports National
Policy Statement, it will be for an applicant for development consent for the Heathrow
Northwest runway scheme to submit a surface access strategy to the Planning Inspectorate
alongside their application.</p>
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