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<p>Population projections, including for different migration scenarios, are the responsibility
of the independent Office for National Statistics.</p><p>The Home Office does not
publish the projections indicated. As indicated in the report for the Migration Advisory
Committee (MAC), Evaluation of existing migration forecasting methods and models,
there are many social, economic and political drivers which can impact migration flows,
making forecasting migration an extremely difficult task. Migration is susceptible
to shock events which are, by their very nature, hard to predict, such as economic
cycles, military conflict and policy changes. Therefore, the probability of a single
forecast being correct is low.</p><p>Notwithstanding this, we remain on track to deliver
our commitment of resettling up to 23,000 vulnerable refugees under our resettlement
schemes by 2020 and are confident that the outcome of EU Exit will not impact our
ability to achieve this.</p>
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