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<p>The Department has estimated that the economic effect of a reasonable worst case
scenario outbreak of African swine fever could cost the UK up to £90m at 2018 prices.
This total estimate includes costs to industry from lost and culled livestock, costs
to Government from control activities and lost value of trade.</p><p> </p><p>While
this estimate represents an informed assessment of the potential impact of an outbreak,
exact costs would be determined by a large number of factors including geographic
location, the husbandry system, epidemiology of the outbreak and whether wildlife
were involved.</p><p> </p>
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