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<p>We assess that the African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM’s) withdrawal from
Buqda, and its consequent re-occupation by Al Shabaab, will have little impact on
the security situation in Somalia, given Buqda’s limited strategic importance within
the context of the overall AMISOM campaign.</p><p>AMISOM and Somali National Security
Forces (SNSF) have regained 75% of the territory formerly controlled by Al-Shabaab,
forcing it out of many of its traditional strongholds, including major urban centres
and its former headquarters in Baraawe. The current AMISOM offensive is designed to
remove Al Shabaab from their strong holds in the Gedo, Bakool and Bay regions of Somalia.
But Al Shabaab still holds ground in the lower Juba Valley and retains the ability
to infiltrate other areas and cause instability.</p><p>We continue to support African
Union and SNSF efforts to defeat Al Shabaab, including through the provision of stipends,
training, equipment and infrastructure enhancements, and capacity-building. We are
also supporting stabilisation and countering violent extremism efforts, including
working with the Federal Government of Somalia to develop counter-terrorism legislation.</p>
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