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<p>The information requested falls under the remit of the UK Statistics Authority.
I have therefore asked the Authority to respond.</p><p> </p><p>Dear Lady Lister,</p><p>
</p><p>As National Statistician and Chief Executive of the UK Statistics Authority,
I am responding to your Parliamentary Question asking how many men have (1) worked
for their current employer for less than 26 weeks, (2) become unemployed, or (3) become
self-employed, for each month (a) this year and (b) last year; and what estimate they
have made of the equivalent figures for each month of 2021 (HL9375).</p><p>Labour
market estimates are available from the Labour Force Survey (LFS), which is a survey
of people resident in households in the UK. The LFS asks respondents which year and
month they started working continuously for their current employer. For the purposes
of answering this question, we are therefore defining 26 weeks as 6 months.</p><p>In
the LFS, respondents are interviewed for five consecutive quarters over a 12-month
period, which allows us to track respondents’ labour market status over their time
in the survey. By comparing the labour market status reported by respondents in two
consecutive calendar quarters, we can estimate the number of people who become unemployed
or self-employed. Unemployed people are those without a job who have been actively
seeking work within the last four weeks and are available to start work within the
next two weeks.</p><p>The LFS only provides these estimates for three-month periods,
rather than single months, and so estimates for the number of men who have worked
for their current employer for less than 6 months are presented on a rolling quarter
basis. It is not best practice to make direct comparisons between adjacent rolling
quarters due to sample overlap. However, these estimates still provide an indication
of recent trends in the data. Estimates of the number of men becoming unemployed or
self-employed are only available for calendar quarters. All estimates are not seasonally
adjusted.</p><p>Unfortunately, as we do not produce forecasts, we cannot provide estimates
for 2021.</p><p>Table 1 contains estimates of the number of male employees, aged 16
years and over, who have been working continuously with their current employer for
less than 6 months. These estimates are provided for each rolling quarter from January
to March 2019 to June to August 2020, which is the most recent data available. Table
2 contains estimates of the number of men, aged between 16 and 64 years, who have
become unemployed or self-employed since the previous quarter. These are provided
for each calendar quarter from January to March 2019 through to April to June 2020,
the latest estimates available. Note that, as with any sample survey, estimates from
the LFS are subject to a level of uncertainty.</p><p> </p><p>Yours sincerely,</p><p>Professor
Sir Ian Diamond</p><p> </p><p>Table 1: Estimated number of men who are employees,
aged 16 years and over, who have been working continuously with their current employer
for less than 6 months prior to their interview, January to March 2019 to June to
August 2020[1]</p><table><tbody><tr><td colspan="2"><p>UK, thousands, not seasonally
adjusted</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Period</p></td><td><p>Thousands</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Jan-Mar
2019</p></td><td><p>1,090</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Feb-Apr 2019</p></td><td><p>1,002</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Mar-May
2019</p></td><td><p>933</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Apr-Jun 2019</p></td><td><p>1,016</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>May-Jul
2019</p></td><td><p>1,065</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Jun-Aug 2019</p></td><td><p>1,095</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Jul-Sep
2019</p></td><td><p>1,099</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Aug-Oct 2019</p></td><td><p>1,132</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Sep-Nov
2019</p></td><td><p>1,189</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Oct-Dec 2019</p></td><td><p>1,209</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Nov-Jan
2020</p></td><td><p>1,207</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Dec-Feb 2020</p></td><td><p>1,169</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Jan-Mar
2020</p></td><td><p>1,082</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Feb-Apr 2020</p></td><td><p>992</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Mar-May
2020</p></td><td><p>881</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Apr-Jun 2020</p></td><td><p>846</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>May-Jul
2020</p></td><td><p>831</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Jun-Aug 2020</p></td><td><p>809</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source:
ONS Labour Force Survey</p><p> </p><p> </p><p> </p><p> </p><p>Table 2: Estimated number
of men, aged between 16 and 64 years, who have become unemployed or self-employed
since the previous quarter, January to March 2019 to April to June 2020</p><table><tbody><tr><td
colspan="3"><p>UK, thousands, not seasonally adjusted</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Period</p></td><td><p>Unemployed</p></td><td><p>Self-employed</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Jan-Mar
2019</p></td><td><p>311</p></td><td><p>198</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Apr-Jun 2019</p></td><td><p>347</p></td><td><p>210</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Jul-Sep
2019</p></td><td><p>381</p></td><td><p>179</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Oct-Dec 2019</p></td><td><p>311</p></td><td><p>248</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Jan-Mar
2020</p></td><td><p>342</p></td><td><p>168</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Apr-Jun 2020</p></td><td><p>351</p></td><td><p>167</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>
</p><p> </p><p>Source: ONS Labour Force Survey</p><p>[1]Quality indicator</p><p>Shaded
estimates are based on a small sample size. This may result in less precise estimates,
which should be used with caution.</p><p>Unshaded estimates are based on a larger
sample size. This is likely to result in estimates of higher precision, although they
will still be subject to some sampling variability.</p><p> </p>
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