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<p>The numbers of teachers leaving and joining the profession in each secondary subject,
including Modern Foreign Languages (MFL), are already factors in the department’s
modelling of future demand for secondary teachers.</p><br /><p>The department uses
the Teacher Supply Model (TSM) to estimate the demand for the number of qualified
teachers within state-funded schools in England each year using a range of assumptions,
including projections for the numbers of pupils in schools and the number of teachers
expected to leave the sector.</p><br /><p>To estimate the demand for teachers in specific
secondary subjects, the TSM uses the latest data on secondary subject take-up, defined
by hours taught, and projected pupil numbers at Key Stages 3 to 5. It also takes into
account the different age and gender demographics of current teachers for the different
secondary subjects, plus the historical rates at which teachers left the profession
by subject group. For modelling purposes, the leaver rates are estimated separately
by age and gender groups, and in each case vary by groups of subjects.</p><p><br></p><br
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