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<p>In October 2017 the Department published within its <em>Updated Appraisal Report:
Airport Capacity in the South East</em>, details of the estimated surface access trips
for both highway and public transport trips for each of the airport expansion options
as inputs to its non-flight carbon assessment.</p><p> </p><p>Details of the estimates
for annual public transport trips for the Heathrow Airport options are set out in
the following table:</p><p> </p><p><em><br> </em></p><p><strong>Annual public transport
trips by passengers and employees at Heathrow, DfT17 central forecasts (millions)</strong></p><p>
</p><table><tbody><tr><td><p> </p></td><td colspan="4"><p>Public transport trips</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>
</p></td><td><p><strong>2026</strong></p></td><td><p><strong>2030</strong></p></td><td><p><strong>2040</strong></p></td><td><p><strong>2050</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td><p>No
Expansion</p></td><td><p>41.3</p></td><td><p>43.6</p></td><td><p>48.8</p></td><td><p>53.4</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>LHR
Extended Northern Runway</p></td><td><p>51.1</p></td><td><p>58.1</p></td><td><p>64.5</p></td><td><p>70.4</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>LHR
Northwest Runway</p></td><td><p>51.1</p></td><td><p>60.1</p></td><td><p>66.6</p></td><td><p>73.4</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>
</p><p>Source: Department for Transport: Table A.4 Updated Appraisal Report: Airport
Capacity in the South East (October 2017)</p><p> </p><p>As part of the surface access
requirements in the draft Airports National Policy Statement, Government has specified
that any applicant must submit a surface access strategy as part of any Development
Consent Order application.</p><p> </p>
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