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<p>National Lottery ticket sales return 12% to the Exchequer as lottery duty. The
Gambling Commission provides DCMS and the Lottery Distributing Bodies with good cause
forecasts on a six-monthly basis to assist them with their grant planning. The forecast
is presented as a range, with low, high and central scenarios. The modelling approach
is regularly refined to ensure the forecasts remain as accurate as possible. The most
recent forecast extends to 2023-24. We do not publish this information given commercial
sensitivities.</p><p>Actual good cause returns are broadly consistent with these forecasts
and are published in the National Lottery Distribution Fund Annual Report and Accounts
and can be found on the <a href="https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-lottery-distribution-fund-account-2020-2021"
target="_blank">GOV.UK</a>.</p><p>The fourth National Lottery Licence is due to commence
on 1 February 2024. 12% in Lottery Duty will continue to be paid on each National
Lottery ticket. However, the method for calculating good cause returns will change.
The design of the new Licence is such that as National Lottery sales grow, so do the
benefits to good causes.</p><p> </p>
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