| answer text |
<p>The national pupil projections are only produced for the whole of England and do
not break down projected pupil numbers by local education authority or region. They
are derived from the 2012-based national population projections for England produced
by the Office for National Statistics (ONS)[1] who used assumptions which were considered
to best reflect demographic patterns at that time.</p><p> </p><p>The ONS uses assumptions
on the levels of future fertility, net migration and life expectancy in the production
of their population projections. They use central assumptions for the principal projections
and alternative high and low assumptions to produce variant projections.</p><p> </p><p>New
national pupil projections, based on the ONS’s mid-2014 national population projections[2],
are scheduled to be published on 14 July 2016. The timing and content of National
Statistics releases are a matter for the Head of Profession for statistics. The month
of publication was pre-announced in 2015 and the specific date of publication was
pre-announced on 26 February 2016.</p><p> </p><p>[1] Mid-2012 ONS national population
projections available at <a href="http://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationprojections/bulletins/nationalpopulationprojections/2013-11-06"
target="_blank">http://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationprojections/bulletins/nationalpopulationprojections/2013-11-06</a></p><p>[2]
Mid-2014 ONS national population projections available at <a href="http://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationprojections/bulletins/nationalpopulationprojections/2015-10-29"
target="_blank">http://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationprojections/bulletins/nationalpopulationprojections/2015-10-29</a></p>
|
|
